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Using Data To Break Through Climate Hysteria

by The editor•1 August 2025•Posted inReal Clear Politics

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With Harris Out, X Factor Looms in ’26 CA Governor’s Race

The Atlantic

A MAGA Attorney Hired Epstein’s Lawyer for His ‘Valuable’ Experience
A firm that represents Pete Hegseth and once represented Donald Trump now employs a co-executor of the disgraced financier’s estate.
Donald Trump Shoots the Messenger
Classic authoritarian move: When reality doesn’t go your way, deny reality.
ICE’s Mind-Bogglingly Massive Blank Check
Congress has appropriated billions with few strings attached, creating a likely windfall for well-connected firms.
Why Trump Broke With Bibi Over the Gaza Famine
The president wants the war to end and thinks Benjamin Netanyahu is standing in his way.
The FBI’s Leaders ‘Have No Idea What They’re Doing’
A casualty of Trump’s purge speaks out.

Talking Points Memo

Texas Starts a Nationwide Gerrymandering War
When the Republican-controlled Texas legislature, at Donald Trump’s urging, first pushed through a plan to do a highly unusual mid-decade...
Experts Say Foreign Governments Are ‘Playing Trump’ on Tariffs
President Donald Trump on Thursday night signed an executive order applying blanket tariffs to scores of countries. In announcing tariffs...
Trump Relocates Ghislaine to Texas Club Fed as Negotiations Continue
Going back to my Backchannel on not being surprised when President Trump pardons Ghislaine Maxwell … Trump has now moved...
Inertia, Rage and Netanyahu’s Never-Ending War
While we watch the horrific and increasingly senseless immiseration of the civilian population of Gaza, it’s important to look clearly...
Senate Democrats Estimate DOGE Caused Billions of Dollars In Government Waste
A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version....

Fox News

Patel fires back at media critics after uncovering secret FBI 'burn bags' with classified documents
Classified documents from Durham report found in FBI burn bags will be declassified and released to Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley.
Trump tells Schumer to 'GO TO HELL' over Senate nominee deal funding demands after negotiations collapse
Senate Republicans tried to broker a deal with Senate Democrats to confirm dozens of President Donald Trump's nominees, but talks began degrade and Trump nuked the deal, sending lawmakers home until September.
Pirro confirmed as D.C. U.S. Attorney amid partisan clash as Dem nominee blockade continues
Former Fox News host Jeanine Pirro was confirmed as Washington D.C.'s U.S. Attorney in a party-line despite Democratic concerns over her election fraud claims and Jan. 6 Capitol riot defense.
Dems dig in, Trump demands all: Nominee fight boils over in Senate as GOP looks for a deal
The negotiations between Senate leaders simmered over President Donald Trump's nominees, with Republicans looking at all options to get the ball rolling and leave D.C.
Sen. Rick Scott endorses Trump-backed Florida gubernatorial candidate
Republican Sen. Rick Scott of Florida endorsed GOP Rep. Byron Donalds of Florida for Sunshine State governor, calling the congressman "a principled conservative."

The Hill

Alyssa Farah Griffin on Harris’s Colbert appearance: ‘Everything that’s wrong with Democrats’
Former White House aide and "The View" co-host Alyssa Farah Griffin weighed in on former Vice President Kamala Harris's appearance on Stephen Colbert's "The Late Show," arguing the interview, her first since losing to President Trump in the 2024 election, represents everything that is "wrong" with Democrats since the November presidential race. "I was struck...
Senate GOP readies ‘nuclear’ option, set for August break after nominations deal falls apart
The Senate is set to finally begin its August recess without a deal on nominations as Republicans are intent on moving forward with a rules change to limit length of time spent on individual nominees enable President Trump’s selections to be confirmed more expeditiously due to a Democratic blockade. Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.)...
Smithsonian slated to restore Trump impeachment exhibit
The Smithsonian's National Museum of American History said it is slated to restore the placard with information about President Trump’s two impeachments after removing it from the exhibit last month. The museum said in a Saturday statement that the section will be “updated in the coming weeks to reflect all impeachment proceedings in our nation’s...
Trump rails against Democrats as Senate takes up his nominees
President Trump blasted Democrats again for delaying the process of getting his nominees confirmed by the upper chamber and praised Senate Republicans for staying in Washington and working on getting the president’s picks approved. “Very proud of our great Republican Senators for fighting, over the Weekend and far beyond, if necessary, in order to get...
Sunday shows preview: Trump economy reverberates amid tariff uncertainty
President Trump’s economy reverberated this week amid tariff uncertainty, the weak job report on Friday and the subsequent firing of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) commissioner, Erika McEntarfer. The Department of Labor (DOL) on Friday reported that the U.S. added just 73,000 jobs in July. Additionally, the job numbers for May and June were...

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The Guardian

Federal agency opens inquiry into ex-special counsel Jack Smith over Trump investigations
Smith led investigations into Trump’s part in the January 6 Capitol attack and the mishandling of classified documentsThe US office of special counsel, an independent federal agency, confirmed to NBC News on Saturday that it is investigating former Department of Justice prosecutor Jack Smith for possible violations of the Hatch Act.Smith led investigations into Donald Trump’s part in January 6 US Capitol riot and alleged mishandling of classified documents. Continue reading...
Republicans slam Trump’s firing of Bureau of Labor Statistics chief
President claimed that recently released figures showing jobs slowdown were ‘rigged’ to make him look badSenior Republican lawmakers are condemning the decision of their party leader, Donald Trump, to fire the leading US labor market statistician after a report that showed the national economy added just 73,000 jobs – far fewer than expected – in July.The disappointing figures – coupled with a downward revision of the two previous months amounting to 258,000 fewer jobs and data showing that economic output and consumer spending slowed in the first half of the year – point to an overall economic deterioration in the US. Continue reading...
Trump says Sean ‘Diddy’ Combs’s past comments make pardoning him ‘more difficult’
They partied together and called each other friends in the past, but in 2020 Combs said Trump should be ‘banished’Donald Trump says he considers Sean ‘“Diddy” Combs “sort of half-innocent” despite his criminal conviction in federal court in July – but the president called pardoning the music mogul “more difficult” because of past criticism.Trump spoke about Combs during an interview on Friday night on the friendly environs of Newsmax. Combs was found guilty on 2 July of two counts of transportation to engage in prostitution, with each leaving him facing up to 10 years in prison – but he was acquitted of more serious sex-trafficking and racketeering conspiracy charges. Continue reading...
Durham disclosures further undermine Gabbard’s claims of plot against Trump
Declassified document contains deflating conclusion for DNI director that Russian spies were behind key 2016 emailsTulsi Gabbard, the director of US national intelligence, hoped to uncover evidence that Barack Obama and his national security team conspired to undermine Donald Trump in a slow-motion coup.But if her crusade was aimed at proving that Obama embarked on a “treasonous conspiracy” to falsely show that Russia intervened in the 2016 presidential election to help Trump, Gabbard made a mistake. A previously classified annexe to a report by another special counsel, John Durham – appointed towards the end of Trump’s first presidency – has further undermined Gabbard’s case. Continue reading...
India to still buy oil from Russia despite Trump threats, say officials
No pause on Russian imports by Indian oil firms who base decisions on ‘price, grade of crude, logistics and economic factors’Indian oil refineries will continue to buy oil from Russia, officials have said, before threatened US sanctions next week against Moscow’s trading partners over the war in Ukraine.Media reports on Friday had suggested India, a big energy importer, would stop buying cheap Russian oil. Trump later told reporters that such a move would be “a good step” if true. Continue reading...

Politico

New filings reveal how top Dems are preparing possible 2028 runs
Possible 2028 contenders’ leadership PACs have raised and spent millions of dollars combined this year, new filings show.
McBride calls for responding to 'Trumpism' with bipartisanship | The Conversation
McBride calls for responding to 'Trumpism' with bipartisanship | The Conversation lead image
Democratic governors advise strong counteroffensive on redistricting
They spoke from a Democratic Governors Association meeting in the purple state of Wisconsin.
She wants Zohran’s seat
With help from Amira McKeeMary Jobaida is a Bangladeshi-born, Muslim mother of three who wants to be the newest member of the state Legislature. Democratic mayoral nominee Zohran Mamdani hasn’t been elected mayor yet. But if — or when — he becomes Gracie Mansion’s newest resident, his Assembly seat in the left-leaning “Peoples’ Republic of Astoria” will become vacant — and Jobaida wants to fill it. Jobaida touts her membership with the Democratic Socialists of America and says she wants to stand up to ICE, make CUNY, SUNY, pre-k and public transportation free, and even decriminalize the theft of food by hungry New Yorkers. “It's actually a waste of money, waste of resources and hurtful to people,” she said, noting that “it’s not practical” to arrest someone for stealing nourishment. Running for the seat, she said, was arranged by God: “I was not going to run against Zohran Mamdani, for sure, because we need progressive elected officials here, but I say it’s like it's planned by God and accepted by people,” she said, recounting how the district's lines were redrawn two years ago to include her residence. The Queens Democratic Party may have other ideas. If Mamdani — who currently leads mayoral polls — is sworn in as mayor on Jan. 1, a special election would have to be called by Gov. Kathy Hochul by Jan. 11 and would likely take place in mid- to late-February. That would mean the Democratic, Republican and potentially Working Families Party organizations could select their own candidate to run in a special. As City & State reported, the Queens Democrats might jump at the opportunity to replace Mamdani with a more moderate candidate. Jobaida, who has already started contacting donors, canvassing and gathering volunteers for her bid, is one of the first candidates to emerge amid a wave of leftist energy that’s engulfed the city since Mamdani’s win. She has a website and told Playbook she will officially launch her campaign later this month. Last month, Assemblymember Jessica González-Rojas announced she would primary state Sen. Jessica Ramos, an Andrew Cuomo foe turned ally. And Mamdani organizer Mahtab Khan registered Monday to run against Queens Assemblymember David Weprin. One Democratic Party insider told Playbook that discussions around filling Mamdani’s seat aren’t expected to occur in earnest until the SOMOS conference in Puerto Rico — where politicos, lobbyists and policymakers fly to the Caribbean to rub elbows and drink rum in the days immediately after the general election. The Working Families Party did not respond to repeated requests for comment on whether it would pick a candidate — like Jobaida — to run for the seat on its ballot line. The co-chair of the city’s Democratic Socialists of America chapter told Playbook the party will be hosting “several forums this fall to hear from interested candidates” before its membership votes on whom it wants to endorse. And Mamdani and Jobaida haven’t spoken yet, though Jobaida plans to speak with him “very soon.” Jobaida is about 45 years old. She was born in a rural village in Bangladesh that never recorded her birthdate and arrived to this country shortly after 9/11 with a “pretty messed-up education from Bangladesh,” she said. She attended community college before enrolling in NYU on a scholarship. She got a start in political organizing in 2007 for Barack Obama’s presidential campaign and then worked on Bill Thompson’s mayoral bid. She has taught kindergarten as a teacher in public school classrooms. She also handled constituent services for Jessica Ramos’ office (though she’s not sure if she’ll vote for her former boss yet). In 2020, Jobaida mounted a primary challenge against longtime incumbent Kathy Nolan in Queens’ 37th Assembly District and lost by just 1,500 votes. After Mamdani’s primary win, Jobaida said she received calls and visits from community leaders, telling her, “You cannot sit quiet; you have to run for this seat.” “I believe I'm going to win this special election,” Jobaida told Playbook. “If it is special election, it's sealed. I believe it's going to be a piece of cake.” Though she believes the country has deep flaws with its criminal justice system and its treatment of the poor, she has immense gratitude for the nation that welcomed her with open arms. “We are passing a very difficult moment as a country, as a community,” Jobaida said, referencing the recent shooting of a border patrol officer and border czar Tom Homan’s promise to “flood the zone” with ICE agents in its wake. “Another way of saying it is like labor pain is harder before the childbirth,” she said. “We are going through some very difficult childbirth, labor pain, now, and I'm hopeful that we're going to see a beautiful America soon.” — Jason BeefermanBEHIND THE NUMBERS: Adams unveiled a whopping figure at his housing presser in Brooklyn today: 426,800. That’s the total number of housing units he says his administration has created, preserved or planned over the course of his tenure. For New Yorkers looking around and wondering why, despite this influx, finding an affordable apartment still feels like competing in the Hunger Games, the operative word is “planned.” Planned units — which include projections from rezonings, some of which aren’t even yet approved — account for nearly half of the total sum. Those 197,000 projected homes include the yet-to-be-seen fruits of the mayor’s wide-ranging City of Yes blueprint, neighborhood plans like the yet-to-be-approved rezoning of Long Island City, private rezonings, housing RFPs and other projections. Many of these initiatives rely on the whims of the private sector, and development decisions that are based on myriad economic factors outside of the city’s control. “Everything is dependent on the real estate market more generally, everything we do,” Kim Darga, deputy commissioner for development at HPD, said during a briefing on the numbers. “The mixed-income programs are very dependent also on the greater climate in which we are operating, so what happens with interest rates could drive what happens, what happens with tariffs could impact what happens,” she continued. Adams nonetheless touted the 426,800-unit figure as far surpassing previous mayors’ housing totals and crowned his administration as “the most pro-housing” in city history. — Janaki Chadha POT PROBLEMS: Gov. Kathy Hochul said her administration will support cannabis businesses that were incorrectly granted licenses by the state. “It’s a major screw-up,” the governor told reporters today. “When I found out about it I was angry to say the least.” Some 150 businesses were found to have been granted licenses for storefronts that are illegally located after regulators mistakenly measured how close they were to schools. Hochul said she explored an executive order to fix the problem, but instead determined a more durable solution is a change in the law. She blamed the prior leadership at the Office of Cannabis Management for the error. “I’ll protect these businesses,” she said, while adding that “we need to get the law changed to have a fix.” State lawmakers, including influential Democrats such as Senate Finance Chair Liz Krueger, have signaled support for changing the law so the retailers can stay put. In a statement, the Office of Cannabis Management downplayed a report from Spectrum News that found the state knew about the issue for a month before alerting business owners. “OCM notified impacted applicants and licensees within days of confirming the issue and identifying the scope of redress opportunities,” the office’s spokesperson, Taylor Randi, said in a statement. She added that its acting director, Felicia Reid, began reviewing dispensaries’ compliance “over the past year.” OCM has also scrambled to dispel reports that dispensaries with locations too close to schools will have to close up shop. Randi said that as long as existing businesses properly file their applications for a renewal, they will be allowed to remain open until legislators come back to Albany to fix the problem. — Nick Reisman and Jason BeefermanICE’D OUT WITH AN APPOINTMENT: The Trump administration’s response to a lawsuit filed this week by House members barred from inspecting migrant detention facilities has revolved around the Democrats making unannounced visits. But lawmakers in New York have sought access both announced and unannounced. Rep. Dan Goldman requested an appointment in June and was still denied entry to the 10th floor of 26 Federal Plaza in lower Manhattan. Democratic lawmakers have simultaneously cited their authority to conduct oversight without giving advance notice of “detention facilities holding individuals in federal immigration custody.” The 67-page lawsuit filed Wednesday in federal court in Washington includes Goldman and Adriano Espaillat as plaintiffs. It references new DHS guidelines that congressional Democrats say infringe on their authority, including the need for seven days’ notice ahead of a visit. In June, Goldman’s team emailed Immigration and Customs Enforcement staff a request for an appointment nine days before he and Rep. Jerry Nadler came to 26 Federal Plaza amid reports of unsafe conditions. They still were denied access. The reason, according to DHS? The 10th floor of the building is a processing, not a detention, facility. “These members of Congress could have just scheduled a tour,” Department of Homeland Security Assistant Secretary Tricia McLaughlin said earlier this week in a statement reacting to the legal complaint by 12 members of Congress. McLaughlin was asked again today on Fox News about the lawsuit and why lawmakers “think that they can just show up announced.” “Exactly, this is about political theater,” she said in response. “This isn’t oversight.” Goldman, Espaillat, Nadler and Rep. Nydia Velázquez have said migrants are being held for several days there in unsafe conditions as revealed in videos. And they have said they would use every tool to shine light on the treatment of migrants as President Donald Trump escalates his deportation agenda. — Emily NgoLET ’EM OFF EASY: Turkish construction executive Erden Arkan should be sentenced to only one year probation after giving illegal straw donations to Adams’ campaign, his lawyer argued in a memo Friday while denying Arkan had any coordination with the Turkish government. Arkan, the co-founder of KSK Construction Group, pleaded guilty in January. His lawyer, Jonathan Rosen, said the federal probation office recommended that he receive only a year’s probation and no prison time. Arkan “did not ‘coordinate’ his decision to use straw donors, the scheme at issue in this case, with the Turkish Consulate or any Turkish official,” despite what prosecutors alleged, Rosen wrote. A Turkish Consulate official invited Arkan to a meeting where he met Adams, but the decision to give illegal straw donations in the names of his employees came only after Arkan tried and failed to solicit donations legally from business contractors, who largely refused to give to Adams. “Fearing embarrassment from the now impending fundraiser, Erden pivoted to a new strategy,” Rosen explained. Rosen also argues that federal prosecutors were using Arkan to get to Adams, and he should be let off now that Adams’ case has been dropped. “The government’s characterization of Eric Adams as a ‘tainted prosecution’ ... calls into question any bona fide federal interest in Mr. Arkan’s continued prosecution in federal court,” he wrote, quoting former Trump administration Department of Justice official Emil Bove’s letter. A spokesperson for the Southern District of New York did not immediately respond to a request for comment. — Jeff Coltin— FAKED SIGNATURES: Mayor Eric Adams’ reelection campaign submitted forged petition signatures in an effort to get on the November ballot as an independent candidate. (Gothamist) — TALL ORDER: The Department of Education approved close to $750,000 in catering spending at a single Brooklyn restaurant in the fiscal year 2025. (amNewYork) — HEALTH CUTS: Federal funding cuts to Medicaid could worsen New York’s nursing shortage. (City & State) Missed this morning’s New York Playbook? We forgive you. Read it here.
Cooper leads first public poll since jumping in North Carolina Senate race
The former governor is six points up in what will be one of the most competitive Senate races in the country next year.

NPR

Do conservatives have a role in challenging Trump's foreign policy?
NPR's Sarah McCammon talks to Kori Schake of the American Enterprise Institute, about her recent piece in Foreign Affairs, Dispensable Nation: America in a Post-American World.
'From the Clinics to the Capitol' links anti-abortion movement to far-right extremism
NPR's Sarah McCammon speaks with Carol Mason about her new book, From the Clinics to the Capitol: How Opposing Abortion Became Insurrectionary.
Nebraska Congressman talks about meeting with the Mexican president regarding tariffs
NPR's Scott Simon asks Rep. Don Bacon, R-Neb., about Bacon's trip to Mexico to foster cooperation in ongoing trade talks.
Week in Politics: Tariffs; Epstein's ex-girlfriend; U.S.-Israel relations
We'll look at the latest tariffs imposed by President Trump, as well as his disagreement with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on starvation in Gaza.
The redistricting fight and how it's spreading across the country
As the Texas GOP works on redrawing Congressional districts to favor their party, some Democratic governors say they could retaliate by redistricting in favor of their party.

Five Thirty Eight

What Americans Think Of The Biden Impeachment Inquiry
Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly-ish polling roundup. It’s officially impeachment season again. On Tuesday, House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy announced that he’s directing three House committees to start investigating whether President Biden benefited from his son Hunter’s business dealings overseas. McCarthy accused the Biden family of “a culture of corruption,” saying that the Biden administration
The Second GOP Debate Could Be Smaller, With Or Without Trump
The second Republican presidential primary debate is less than two weeks away, so time is running out for GOP contenders to meet the Republican National Committee’s qualification criteria. To make the Sept. 27 debate, each candidate must have at least 3 percent support in two qualifying national polls, or at least 3 percent in one
The Senate Is Losing One Of Its Few Remaining Moderate Republicans
On Wednesday, Utah Sen. Mitt Romney announced he would not run for reelection in 2024. On the surface, the electoral impact of Romney’s decision is minimal — his seat should stay safely in Republican hands. But it’s still notable because it represents the departure of one of the few remaining Republican senators who had a
Why ‘Bidenomics’ Isn’t Working For Biden
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. nrakich (Nathaniel Rakich, senior elections analyst): For a long time, the economy has been seen as a big liability for President Biden in his reelection bid. Inflation soared in 2021 and 2022, culminating at a rate of 9.1 percent last June. The same
Why Biden Is Losing Support Among Voters Of Color
Among the most politically tuned-in, last week saw the kind of hand-wringing and accusations of bias surrounding the polls that you’d usually expect from the final two months of a campaign, not the final year and two months of a campaign. The focus was largely on general election polls: Whether a Wall Street Journal poll

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