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A New Twist on an Old Bet With Buffett

The editorby The editor•15 hours ago•Posted inReal Clear Politics

A new wager of the century?

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The Atlantic

  • He Spent His Life Trying to Prove That He Was a Loyal U.S. Citizen. It Wasn’t Enough.

    How Joseph Kurihara lost his faith in America

  • Zohran Mamdani’s Lesson for the Left

    The New York City mayoral primary showcased a better kind of politics than progressives are used to.

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  • Trump’s New Favorite General

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  • The Man Who Thinks Medicaid Cuts Won’t Cut Medicaid

    In Kevin Hassett, the Trump administration has picked an especially unfortunate spokesperson.

Talking Points Memo

  • Welp

    Neil Jacobs, the nominee to run National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (which includes the National Weather Service), pledged to work...

  • There’s Always Going to be a Conspiracy Theory

    There are plenty of legitimate questions swirling around the devastating flooding in Texas last weekend that left at least 100...

  • The Texas Flash Flood Is a Preview of the Chaos to Come

    This article first appeared at ProPublica, a Pulitzer Prize-winning investigative newsroom. Sign up for The Big Story newsletter to receive...

  • Only KBJ Recognizes the Historic Stakes of Trump’s Purges

    A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version....

  • How the ‘Seven Mountains Mandate’ Is Linked to Political Extremism in the US

    This article is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis. It was originally published at The Conversation. Vance...

Fox News

  • Trump taps Sean Duffy to serve as interim NASA chief

    Trump appointed Sean Duffy interim NASA chief on Wednesday via Truth Social, replacing Janet Petro after pulling Jared Isaacman’s nomination.

  • Trump's Justice Department targets doctors, clinics who provide sex change procedures to minors

    Attorney General Pamela Bondi announced the Justice Department has subpoenaed more than 20 doctors and clinics providing sex change treatments for minors.

  • Gov. Abbott demands comprehensive overhaul of Texas flood warning systems as death toll rises

    Texas special session called to address flood warning failures and emergency response after Hill Country flooding caused more than 100 deaths.

  • Mamdani's far-left allies aim to primary Hakeem Jeffries and other NYC House Democrats

    Hakeem Jeffries' adviser warns of 'forceful' response to potential primary challenges from democratic socialists after Mamdani's NYC victory.

  • Left-wing critics blame Texas flood devastation on 'climate denialism,' warn more to come unless inaction ends

    Left-wing critics argue Texas floods were worsened by climate denialism, while conservatives call out politicization of the tragedy amid ongoing search and rescue efforts.

The Hill

  • Six Secret Service agents suspended after Trump assassination attempt

    The Secret Service suspended six agents in connection with their "actions" during last year's assassination attempt on President Trump at a campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, a source from the agency confirmed. They were suspended following an investigation into the attempted assassination, "specifically their actions," the source told NewsNation, The Hill's sister company. Their jobs,...

  • Trump praises Liberia leader's English, the country's official language

    President Trump said Wednesday he was impressed with Liberian President Joseph Boakai’s English during a meeting with African heads of state at the White House. “Such good English,” he said after Boakai spoke. “Where were you educated? Where? In Liberia? Well, that’s very interesting. It’s beautiful English,” Trump said during a joint press conference. “I...

  • Tillis suggests he wouldn't vote in favor of Hegseth confirmation now

    Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) suggested on Wednesday that he would not vote in favor of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's confirmation at this time. During an interview with CNN's Jake Tapper, Tillis said that when it came to Hegseth's confirmation vote, he "had already informed my conference that I was going to defer to the Senate...

  • Trump taps Sean Duffy as interim NASA administrator

    President Trump said late Wednesday that he was tapping Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy to lead NASA on an interim basis after Trump yanked his original nominee for the post. "Sean is doing a TREMENDOUS job in handling our Country’s Transportation Affairs, including creating a state-of-the-art Air Traffic Control systems, while at the same time rebuilding...

  • Ukraine's ambassador to US departing as Zelensky shakes up diplomats

    The Ukrainian ambassador to the U.S. is departing from her position as President Volodymyr Zelensky looks to reshape relationships in Washington. Oksana Markarova is out as the leading U.S. diplomat, according to Ukraine’s foreign minister, Andrii Sybiha. “She is extremely effective and charismatic, but every diplomat has a rotation cycle," Sybiha said during a Wednesday...

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The Guardian

  • Brazil’s president rebuffs demand to cease inquiry into Bolsonaro after Trump tariffs – as it happened

    This live blog is now closed. To read more on the day’s happenings, see:Trump targets Brunei, Libya and Moldova with latest threat of US tariffsTrump says Bolsonaro ‘not guilty of anything’ amid Brazil coup trialThe US justice department has sued California over state policies allowing transgender athletes to compete in girls’ school sports, alleging that allowing them to do so violates federal anti-discrimination laws.The lawsuit, filed in federal court in Los Angeles, claims that California’s policies violate Title IX, which affords legal protection against sex discrimination.Our Fed Rate is AT LEAST 3 Points too high. “Too Late” is costing the U.S. 360 Billion Dollars a Point, PER YEAR, in refinancing costs. No Inflation, COMPANIES POURING INTO AMERICA. “The hottest Country in the World!” LOWER THE RATE!!!ANYBODY BUT “TOO LATE.”In effect, we went on hold when we saw the size of the tariffs and essentially all inflation forecasts for the United States went up materially as a consequence of the tariffs.Anybody would be better than Jay Powell. He’s costing us a fortune because he keeps the rate way up. Continue reading...

  • Trump news at a glance: president demands Bolsonaro trial be stopped as he hits Brazil with 50% tariff

    Trump calls for end to prosecution and also targets other countries with steep levies while Washington sanctions UN official over Gaza – key US politics stories from Wednesday 9 JulyDonald Trump has slapped a 50% tariff on Brazil over what he called the “witch-hunt” against former president Jair Bolsonaro and demanded that it end immediately.The US president said the levy on Brazil would be “separate from all sectoral tariffs” as he also targeted seven other countries for steep tariffs and criticised the trial of Bolsonaro, whom he has described as a friend and hosted at his Mar-a-Lago resort. Continue reading...

  • Trump administration reportedly planning to fire 2,145 Nasa employees

    Cuts further the push to slash federal government through early retirement, buyouts and deferred resignationsThe Trump administration is reportedly planning to cut at least 2,145 high-ranking Nasa employees with specialized skills or management responsibilities.According to documents obtained by Politico, most employees leaving are in senior-level government ranks, depriving the agency of decades of experience as part of a push to slash the size of the federal government through early retirement, buyouts and deferred resignations. Continue reading...

  • DoJ subpoenas clinics and doctors who offer gender-affirming care to minors

    It was not immediately clear to whom the requests were sent and the kind of information that was requestedThe US Department of Justice said on Wednesday it had sent more than 20 subpoenas to clinics and doctors who offer gender-affirming care to minors.It was not immediately clear to whom the requests were sent and the kind of information that was requested. Continue reading...

  • US supreme court blocks Florida from enforcing anti-immigration law

    Judge finds Republican-crafted law probably unconstitutional for encroaching on federal authorityThe US supreme court maintained on Wednesday a judicial block on a Republican-crafted Florida law that makes it a crime for undocumented immigrants in the United States to enter the state.The justices denied a request by state officials to lift an order by the Florida-based US district judge Kathleen Williams that barred them from carrying out arrests and prosecutions under the law while a legal challenge plays out in lower courts. Williams ruled that Florida’s law conflicted with the federal government’s authority over immigration policy. Continue reading...

Politico

  • Musk announces arrival of new ‘America Party’ after Trump split

    The billionaire donor has teased the launch of a third party ever since his megabill squabble with Trump.

  • The nation’s cartoonists on the week in politics

    Every week political cartoonists throughout the country and across the political spectrum apply their ink-stained skills to capture the foibles, memes, hypocrisies and other head-slapping events in the world of politics. The fruits of these labors are hundreds of cartoons that entertain and enrage readers of all political stripes. Here's an offering of the best of this week's crop, picked fresh off the Toonosphere. Edited by Matt Wuerker.

  • Dems are gearing up to weaponize Trump’s megabill

    House Democrats see an opportunity to expand the battleground, going on offense into red areas across the country and recruiting candidates deep into Republican territory.

  • This Pennsylvania Republican withstood pressure on the megabill. Here’s why.

    Brian Fitzpatrick, who won his seat in 2016, faces a serious Democratic challenger next year.

  • Colin Allred enters U.S. Senate race in Texas

    Allred, who lost his 2024 Senate bid against Sen. Ted Cruz, reenters an increasingly crowded Democratic primary.

NPR

  • Trump sets 50% tariff rate for Brazil, blasting treatment of former far-right president

    President Trump defended former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, who is accused of plotting an attempted coup following his loss in the 2022 election.

  • Former White House doctor declines to testify in GOP probe of Biden's mental acuity

    Kevin O'Connor cited doctor-patient confidentiality and his Fifth Amendment right against self-incrimination in deciding not to answer questions from Republicans on the House Oversight Committee.

  • After Murkowki's pivotal vote, what do Alaskans think of the GOP budget bill?

    Republicans made concessions for Alaska to get Sen. Lisa Murkowski to cast the deciding vote approving the GOP's sweeping tax and spending bill. Do her constituents think she got a good deal?

  • Elon Musk's AI chatbot, Grok, started calling itself 'MechaHitler'

    On Sunday, the chatbot was updated to "not shy away from making claims which are politically incorrect, as long as they are well substantiated." By Tuesday, it was praising Hitler.

  • Over 160 people still missing after Texas floods. And, federal layoffs can now resume

    The death toll for the Texas floods tops 100 as the search and rescue efforts continue for over 160 missing people. And, the Supreme Court is allowing Trump to resume mass federal layoffs for now.

Five Thirty Eight

  • What Americans Think Of The Biden Impeachment Inquiry

    Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly-ish polling roundup. It’s officially impeachment season again. On Tuesday, House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy announced that he’s directing three House committees to start investigating whether President Biden benefited from his son Hunter’s business dealings overseas. McCarthy accused the Biden family of “a culture of corruption,” saying that the Biden administration

  • The Second GOP Debate Could Be Smaller, With Or Without Trump

    The second Republican presidential primary debate is less than two weeks away, so time is running out for GOP contenders to meet the Republican National Committee’s qualification criteria. To make the Sept. 27 debate, each candidate must have at least 3 percent support in two qualifying national polls, or at least 3 percent in one

  • The Senate Is Losing One Of Its Few Remaining Moderate Republicans

    On Wednesday, Utah Sen. Mitt Romney announced he would not run for reelection in 2024. On the surface, the electoral impact of Romney’s decision is minimal — his seat should stay safely in Republican hands. But it’s still notable because it represents the departure of one of the few remaining Republican senators who had a

  • Why ‘Bidenomics’ Isn’t Working For Biden

    Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. nrakich (Nathaniel Rakich, senior elections analyst): For a long time, the economy has been seen as a big liability for President Biden in his reelection bid. Inflation soared in 2021 and 2022, culminating at a rate of 9.1 percent last June. The same

  • Why Biden Is Losing Support Among Voters Of Color

    Among the most politically tuned-in, last week saw the kind of hand-wringing and accusations of bias surrounding the polls that you’d usually expect from the final two months of a campaign, not the final year and two months of a campaign. The focus was largely on general election polls: Whether a Wall Street Journal poll

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