Skip to content

thatsthewaythecookiecrumbles.org

Trusted news at #1 place

About us
Trusted sources
Democracy matters
Trump’s decisions

Search for:

Home - Real Clear Politics - A Trade Lesson for Economists (and the World)

Posted in

Real Clear Politics

A Trade Lesson for Economists (and the World)

by The editor•29 July 2025•Posted inReal Clear Politics

Post Content

More by The editor

You might also like

A Bad Week for Democrat Media Mouthpieces

Trump Bullish on the Economy at Pittsburgh Summit

A New Twist on an Old Bet With Buffett

Post navigation

Previous Article Previous article:
Democrats Should Embrace Cultural Moderation

Next Article Next article:
What Carville Doesn’t Understand About Voter Priorities

The Atlantic

The FBI’s Leaders ‘Have No Idea What They’re Doing’
A casualty of Trump’s purge speaks out.
How NASA Engineered Its Own Decline
The agency once projected America’s loftiest ideals. Then it ceded its ambitions to Elon Musk.
A Democrat for the Trump Era
Jasmine Crockett is testing out the coarse style of politics that the GOP has embraced.
A New Kind of Family Separation
The Trump administration is again going after undocumented minors—but its approach is different than during his first presidency.
Columbia Protected Its Funding and Sacrificed Its Freedom
The university’s agreement with the Trump administration bodes ill for American higher education.

Talking Points Memo

Trump Says Epstein ‘Stole’ Accuser Virginia Giuffre From Mar-a-Lago
A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version....
Tonight?
Thanks to everyone who contributed to the TPM Journalism Fund over the last 24 hours. We’re now at over $350,000...
How Trump’s ‘Least Bad Outcome’ Trade Agreements Could Hurt Everyone
A prevailing narrative has emerged about recent U.S. trade agreements: other countries are bending under the heavy hand of an...
Don’t Be Surprised When Trump Pardons Ghislaine Maxwell, and Other Epstein News
I mentioned yesterday the importance of keeping up with stories that are absurd in their substance but real in their...
The Campaign Against Mamdani Has Echoes of the Panic Around Another Socialist Democrat
This article is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis. It was originally published at The Conversation. It...

Fox News

Trump, Republicans race to redraw Texas congressional map as Democrats threaten legal war
Texas GOP prepares new congressional maps as House minority leader Jeffries travels to Austin calling Republican redistricting efforts cheating.
Backlash against Sydney Sweeney ‘jeans/genes’ ad gets mocked by WH: Americans are 'tired of this bulls---’
Sydney Sweeney's American Eagle advertisement sparks controversy as critics claim it promotes "whiteness" while Trump officials defend against cancel culture accusations.
Newsom office dismisses crime fears, defends sanctuary policies amid surge in violence: 'Fake news'
Gov. Gavin Newsom is denying experts' claims that sanctuary policies sheltering lawbreakers are directly responsible for a rising crime and violence in Democratic-run jurisdictions.
Ramaswamy pledges ‘rule of law’ revival after viral Cincinnati mob attack
Ohio gubernatorial candidate, Vivek Ramaswamy, responded to the viral Cincinnati assault, advocating for a stronger police presence and rule of law enforcement statewide.
Hundreds of billions in over-budget federal projects exposed, as Senate DOGE tries to claw money back
Federal infrastructure projects face massive cost overruns according to Senate report, with Sen. Joni Ernst calling billion-dollar overruns a "financial train wreck."

The Hill

Amazon to pay New York Times $20 million to feed company's AI
Amazon has agreed to pay at least $20 million to the New York Times Company for the right to use its journalism to feed the tech giant's artificial intelligence capabilities. The deal between the two companies was first announced in May but the Wall Street Journal reported the details of the payment plan on Wednesday....
Secret Service agent tried to smuggle wife on Trump’s Scotland trip
The Secret Service is conducting a “personnel investigation” after an agent attempted to smuggle his wife on board a plane headed to Scotland for President Trump’s recent trip. “The aircraft, operated by the U.S. Air Force was being used by the Secret Service to transport personnel and equipment,” a Secret Service spokesperson told The Hill....
Believe it or not, opioid deaths are finally down — but why?
The numbers are down. But the work is far from over.
Texas GOP unveils new planned congressional map
Texas Republicans unveiled a proposal for new congressional maps Wednesday as a redistricting battle heats up across the country. The maps are expected to create five new House seats that President Trump won by double digits in November. Trump had pressed Lone Star State Republicans to redraw the lines to protect the party’s narrow 219-212 House majority...
New bill outlines federal grants for uterine fibrosis in bipartisan health push
Sens. Angela Alsobrooks (D-Md.) and Cynthia Lummis (R-Wyo.) will introduce a bill to award federal grants to study uterine fibroids as one of several competing bipartisan measures to support study of the noncancerous growths common in women of childbearing age. The bill would establish a new grant program of unspecified amount and duration to support...

Categories

Adventure
Architecture
Astronomy
BBC US politics
Beauty
CNN
Democracy matters – defending democracy
Fashion
Featured articles
FiveThirtyEight
Food
Fox news
Just security
Movie Stuff
NPR
Painters Matter
Politico
Politics Matters
Real Clear Politics
Talking Points Memo
The Atlantic
The Guardian
The Hill
Travel

About us
Trusted sources
Democracy matters
Trump’s decisions

Find Us

This is a good place to read all your sources at just one stop.

Address
123 Main Street
New York, NY 10001

Hours
Monday–Friday: 5:00AM–5:00PM
Saturday & Sunday: Only urgent matters

The abouve looks good so I left it there, like I would be running a regular physical operation as well ,-)

You can reach me at editor@thatsthewaythecookiecrumbles.org

The Guardian

Senate Democrats use rare law to push for Epstein files release – US politics live
‘Rule of five’ requires government agencies to provide relevant information if at least five members of the committee request itOn Capitol Hill today, Senate Democrats – led by minority leader Chuck Schumer – will hold a press conference at 12pm ET to discuss their plans to push the justice department to release the full and un-redacted Epstein files.Democrats are using a rare and little-known law, known colloquially as the “rule of five”, which requires government agencies to provide relevant information if at least five members of the committee request it. In this case, all Democrats on the homeland security and governmental affairs committee signed a letter to attorney general Pam Bondi yesterday.The August first deadline is the August first deadline - it stands strong, and will not be extended. A big day for America!!! Continue reading...
DoJ pushes for release of Epstein and Maxwell grand jury transcripts
Justice department revealed that only two law enforcement witnesses testified during grand jury proceedingsTranscripts of the grand jury proceedings that led to the sex-trafficking indictments of the sex abuser Jeffrey Epstein and his accomplice, British socialite Ghislaine Maxwell, include the testimony of just two law enforcement witnesses, the Department of Justice has said, as it argues for the documents’ release.Top justice department officials disclosed in a filing late on Tuesday in New York City federal court that separate grand juries convened to consider the criminal investigations of Epstein and Maxwell, and had heard from only two witnesses. Continue reading...
FDA’s top vaccine official leaves post after less than four months
Trump administration gives no details about reason for departure of Vinay Prasad, but he had critics and had taken unusual actionsThe top vaccine official at the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA), Vinay Prasad, has left the federal agency less than four months after being appointed as the head of the division overseeing biological products like blood, vaccines, and cellular and gene therapies, a government spokesperson has said.Prasad, an oncologist and a professor of epidemiology, biostatistics and medicine at the University of California, San Francisco, had previously criticized the FDA. Continue reading...
US medical groups fill gap with own vaccine guides amid ‘information crisis’
As official health guidance changes, scientific groups are stepping in with evidence-based recommendationsThe US Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) is adopting a recommendation from independent advisers to drop thimerosal, a preservative found in about 4% of flu vaccines, despite evidence that it poses no risks and helps prevent bacterial and fungal infections.But Robert F Kennedy Jr, the HHS secretary, has not adopted two other votes from the advisory meeting: recommending annual flu vaccines for everyone over the age of six months and RSV shots for infants. Continue reading...
Medicare and Medicaid turn 60 – and face historic cuts decades in the making
Republicans enacted the largest cuts to healthcare in US history, and fulfilled decades of conservative rhetoricThe US’s largest public health insurance programs, Medicare and Medicaid, turn 60 years old on Wednesday – a birthday that will be celebrated only weeks after Republicans enacted the largest cuts to healthcare in the nation’s history.Passed in the civil rights era, the sister health insurance programs served as tools for the Democratic president Lyndon Johnson to desegregate American healthcare and fight poverty. Continue reading...

Politico

New Texas congressional map will create five districts Trump carried by double digits
The map was released by Texas Republicans on Wednesday morning.
Zohran dominates in new poll
With help from Amira McKeeCUOMO CONUNDRUM: Democratic mayoral nominee Zohran Mamdani looks to be cruising toward victory, capturing 50 percent of the vote in a new general election poll of the mayor’s race paid for by his allies. In the five-way contest, Andrew Cuomo trailed him with 22 percent, Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa came in third at 13 percent and Mayor Eric Adams captured 7 percent of the vote among likely voters. Attorney Jim Walden received 1 percent. “Our independent poll — the first in this cycle to be offered in four languages and to drill down into national origin and religious denomination — makes one thing clear: Black union households, young Jews, South Asians, East Asians, Latinos, and New Yorkers in every income bracket are all on the same Zohran Mamdani bus, and it’s headed in the direction of the Democratic Party’s future,” said Amit Singh Bagga, the principal of Public Progress Solutions and a veteran of federal, city, and state government. Bagga’s firm designed and analyzed the poll along with Adam Carlson’s Zenith Research. It was funded through private donations to Bagga, who advised Mamdani’s campaign during the primary on a variety of city government issues, and was fielded by Verasight. It quizzed 1,453 registered voters — 1,021 of whom were “likely” voters — and was conducted between July 16 and 24, concluding four days before a gunman walked into a Midtown Manhattan office building on Monday and killed four people, including one NYPD officer. Mamdani was celebrating his wedding in Uganda at the time. He’s scheduled to be back in the city Wednesday morning. According to the poll, even if the former governor could achieve his unlikely goal of neutralizing the rest of the field to face Mamdani one-on-one, the democratic socialist assemblymember is still up 52-40 in a head-to-head matchup with likely voters. But Mamdani’s head-to-head lead shrinks to just 3 points with registered voters. And it’d be worse for Adams — Mamdani clocks him 59-32 with likely voters and 55-32 with registered voters. Three months out from the Nov. 4 election, Mamdani is in a commanding position. Just 32 percent of likely voters say they would not consider voting for him, while Cuomo is at 60 percent and Adams at 68 percent. “With a majority of voters saying they wouldn't even consider voting for Cuomo, Adams' net favorability being lower than Trump's, and Sliwa mired in the low teens, it's hard to see how anyone can put a serious scare into Mamdani in a split field,” Carlson said in a statement. The survey is the first significant public poll after the ex-governor announced he’d mount a campaign after losing the primary. Respondents were surveyed via a hybrid online panel, the firms said. The poll had a 3.1 percentage point margin of error. Cuomo took issue with the poll’s model assumption that Mamdani’s campaign would boost turnout among younger and college-educated voters as it did in the primary. “The only thing that I think is material for accuracy is what the poll says about the registered voters,” Cuomo told Playbook. “As we learned in the primary, when you’re assuming turnout levels, there are many variables. In the primary, they underestimated the number of young people. You have to make another set of assumptions on the general. Some people will assume you’re going to see a young voter surge. Some people believe you’re going to see an anti-socialist surge. Some people think you’re going to see a pro-Israel surge. So who knows?” Mamdani still holds a 16-point lead over Cuomo among registered voters, according to the poll. Mamdani gets 42 percent in a five-way race, followed by Cuomo at 26, Sliwa at 12, Adams at 7 and Walden at 1. — Jeff Coltin & Jason BeefermanHEASTIE WILL VOTE DEMOCRAT (WE ASSUME): Assembly Speaker Carl Heastie implied he is likely to vote for Mamdani — but continues to avoid explicitly saying the democratic socialist will earn a spot on his ballot. “Do we ask people who they vote for?” Heastie quipped when a reporter asked him this afternoon who he would vote for in the general election. “Listen, I'm a Democrat, and I support Democrats. I've never voted for someone that’s not a Democrat.” The speaker was in Schenectady today for a visit to a local musical theater in need of state investment. When asked if his record of voting strictly along the Democratic line could change for the upcoming mayoral election, Heastie chuckled. After a brief silence, his press aide cut in to solicit other questions from reporters. The speaker did say he is in frequent contact with the mayoral nominee. “Zohran and I have had loads of communications,” Heastie said. “What people have to understand is that when I'm the speaker of [a] body, I have to communicate concerns of the body, and Zohran and I have communicated what I think he needs to do to get me there.” — Jason Beeferman GUN CONTROL PLEAS: New York Democrats pleaded for Congress to approve tighter gun control laws in the wake of a Midtown shooting that left six people dead — including an NYPD officer. There’s little chance any measures will pass given Republicans holding all levers of power in Washington. Yet Gov. Kathy Hochul and Heastie on Tuesday urged national action — a tacit acknowledgement that the state’s comparatively strict gun laws can’t stop someone obtaining a weapon in another state. The alleged shooter reportedly traveled to New York from Nevada. “We need a national awakening here. People need to be talking about this once again and it shouldn't just happen in the wake of a tragedy like this. It should be an ongoing conversation where we force the Republicans to understand lives could be saved if we only do what's smart and common sense,” Hochul told CNN. The governor pushed through a package of gun law changes after the U.S. Supreme Court determined New York’s concealed carry measure was unconstitutional. In the wake of a Buffalo mass shooting in 2022, Hochul won approval of tighter restrictions on gun ownership, including raising the age to buy a firearm from 18 to 21. Heastie echoed Hochul’s sentiment with reporters in Schenectady. “When is this country going to wake up on allowing citizens to have these military-style weapons?” he said. “No other industrial nation in this world allows the citizens to do it.” — Nick Reisman AMEND TO THAT: Heastie is ready to change New York’s redistricting laws as red states move this year to redraw their House lines. “At this point we should look to try to see what we can do to counteract Republican actions,” Heastie told reporters today. There are very few options for New York Democrats to impact next year’s election, though, even as Hochul last week signaled she is open to making changes to the state’s House lines. One potential long-term response is a constitutional amendment — a multi-year effort that ends with a voter referendum — that would allow New York to redistrict in the middle of the decade if another state undertakes the process. Heastie said he is open to passing the measure, which was introduced by state Sen. Mike Gianaris and Assemblymember Micah Lasher, POLITICO first reported on Monday. “It doesn’t have to be done now; it can be done in the following year,” he added. — Nick ReismanDELGADO WANTS SPECIAL SESSION: Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado, a gubernatorial primary candidate, is calling for the state Legislature to hold a special session to protect against incoming federal cuts — but Heastie indicated an early return to Albany for lawmakers is unlikely. Delgado is slated to appear with Assemblymembers George Alvarez, Amanda Septimo, Phara Souffrant Forrest and Claire Valdez on Thursday in Manhattan to make a public plea for a special session. It’s a sign of support from the group of lefty lawmakers even as the vast majority of Democratic lawmakers are leery of backing the lieutenant governor over Hochul. The event is organized by Citizen Action, VOCAL-NY, Make the Road and other left-leaning advocacy groups. Still, Heastie indicated this afternoon a special session is unlikely. “We haven't had any discussions about that,” he said. While it’s early, Heastie said his “biggest priority” for the upcoming legislative session will be to “limit as best we can the damage that Republicans have done to us that they keep trying to sugarcoat.” — Jason Beeferman— SINCE 2000: The mass shooting in a Midtown building Monday night was New York’s deadliest shooting in 25 years. (New York Times) — CONTESTED BALLOTS: The New York City Board of Elections is set to certify the results of a GOP primary for a Brooklyn City Council seat Tuesday amid allegations of voter fraud. (New York Daily News) — ‘YOU AND YOUR EGO’: Cuomo slammed Adams as a “spoiler” driven by his own ego while speaking with reporters at the Columbian Day Parade. (New York Post) — MTA OUTAGE: A slew of subway lines were delayed and suspended today as a power outage wreaked havoc on the system. (Gothamist) Missed this morning’s New York Playbook? We forgive you. Read it here. NOTE: This article has been updated to accurately reflect the elected officials planning to attend Thursday’s rally with Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado. POLITICO was informed following publication that Sen. Kristen Gonzalez did not plan to attend. In addition, an earlier version of this newsletter misstated the subject of Bagga's advising for Mamdani. He advised on city government issues.
Roy Cooper raises $3.4 million in first 24 hours of his Senate candidacy
The former North Carolina governor set a fundraising record with his day-one haul for his Senate campaign.
Project 2025 architect Paul Dans to challenge Lindsey Graham
He joins an increasingly crowded field hoping to take control of one of South Carolina’s Senate seats.
FDA's Makary on 'male-dominated' culture of medical research | The Conversation
FDA's Makary on 'male-dominated' culture of medical research | The Conversation lead image

NPR

Trump dashes hopes of a trade deal with India by Aug. 1, announcing 25% tariffs
President Trump said he would pose an additional penalty on India for its trade relations with Russia, which Trump is trying to pressure over its war with Ukraine.
UK may recognize a Palestinian state. And, EPA proposes removing pollution limits
The United Kingdom says it will recognize a Palestinian state in September if Israel doesn't agree to a ceasefire in Gaza. And, in a win for automakers, the EPA proposes reversing pollution limits.
Is joy an act of resistance?
The phrase "joy is resistance" has been popping up all over the place lately. But what, exactly, does it mean? In this episode, we're unpacking what joy is, when it can actually be used as a tool for social change, and why the slogan has become so popular (even when joy itself feels more tenuous.)
Trump keeps pressuring the Fed to cut rates. Here's why its independence matters
Trump has threatened to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell, challenging the Fed's independence. Experts say he's not the first president to target the central bank, but he's the most public and aggressive.
Despite grand claims, a new report shows noncitizen voting hasn't materialized
New research confirms what election experts have said all along: Noncitizen voting occasionally happens, but in minuscule numbers and not in any coordinated way.

Five Thirty Eight

What Americans Think Of The Biden Impeachment Inquiry
Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly-ish polling roundup. It’s officially impeachment season again. On Tuesday, House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy announced that he’s directing three House committees to start investigating whether President Biden benefited from his son Hunter’s business dealings overseas. McCarthy accused the Biden family of “a culture of corruption,” saying that the Biden administration
The Second GOP Debate Could Be Smaller, With Or Without Trump
The second Republican presidential primary debate is less than two weeks away, so time is running out for GOP contenders to meet the Republican National Committee’s qualification criteria. To make the Sept. 27 debate, each candidate must have at least 3 percent support in two qualifying national polls, or at least 3 percent in one
The Senate Is Losing One Of Its Few Remaining Moderate Republicans
On Wednesday, Utah Sen. Mitt Romney announced he would not run for reelection in 2024. On the surface, the electoral impact of Romney’s decision is minimal — his seat should stay safely in Republican hands. But it’s still notable because it represents the departure of one of the few remaining Republican senators who had a
Why ‘Bidenomics’ Isn’t Working For Biden
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. nrakich (Nathaniel Rakich, senior elections analyst): For a long time, the economy has been seen as a big liability for President Biden in his reelection bid. Inflation soared in 2021 and 2022, culminating at a rate of 9.1 percent last June. The same
Why Biden Is Losing Support Among Voters Of Color
Among the most politically tuned-in, last week saw the kind of hand-wringing and accusations of bias surrounding the polls that you’d usually expect from the final two months of a campaign, not the final year and two months of a campaign. The focus was largely on general election polls: Whether a Wall Street Journal poll

Painte

Paul Klee

24 April 202330 December 2024

Michael Parkes

24 April 202312 July 2025

Wassily Kandinsky, 1903, The Blue Rider (Der Blaue Reiter)

Wassily Wassilyevich Kandinsky

20 December 202012 July 2025

Copyright © 2025 thatsthewaythecookiecrumbles.org.

Powered by WordPress and HybridMag.

About us
Trusted sources
Democracy matters
Trump’s decisions

thatsthewaythecookiecrumbles.org

Trusted news at #1 place

About us
Trusted sources
Democracy matters
Trump’s decisions

bladibla

Scroll Up