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How Can the Fed Set Rates When Jobs Data Is This Broken?

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The Atlantic

Things Aren’t Going Donald Trump’s Way
He hasn’t ended the wars in Ukraine and Gaza. His economy looks shaky. And then there’s Jeffrey Epstein.
Trump Just Did What Not Even Nixon Dared
This isn’t the first time the BLS commissioner aroused presidential ire. But at least Nixon faced constraints.
How Democrats Tied Their Own Hands on Redistricting
Their threat to match Republican gerrymandering could be difficult to fulfill.
The War Over America’s Birthday Party
As plans for the festivities became Trumpier, allies of the president tried to oust Republican commissioners.
The Most Nihilistic Conflict on Earth
Sudan’s devastating civil war shows what will replace the liberal order: anarchy and greed.

Talking Points Memo

Give Me Two Minutes
We’re on the cusp of being 90% of the way toward our goal of raising $500,000 in this year’s annual...
Vance Brings White House Backup to Indiana
Vice President JD Vance brought an entourage of White House officials with him to Indiana today for his meeting with...
HHS Has Revived a Failed Program to Scrape Americans’ Data and Track Autism, Senate Suggests
Last week, the Senate Appropriations Committee released a report on the country’s federal labor, health, human services, and education agencies...
Cornyn Says FBI Will Get Involved In Locating Texas Dems Who Left the State
State and national Republicans this week are trying to pull out all the stops to punish Democratic lawmakers who fled,...
How the Federal Union Could Break Apart
The term “constitutional crisis” gets used a lot these days. By a very fair definition we’ve been in one since...

Fox News

President Trump increases federal law enforcement presence in DC following violent crime surge
President Donald Trump has ordered an increased federal law enforcement presence in Washington, D.C., to protect residents and visitors from a surge in violent crime.
Nancy Pelosi says sex changes for trans kids is something she's working for 'at the national level'
Democrat Nancy Pelosi said she is working on the national level to protect sex changes for transgender kids as the Trump administration tries put a stop to them.
Pentagon announces massive migrant detention facility at Fort Bliss in Texas with 5,000 beds
Pentagon announces construction of 5,000-bed migrant detention facility at Fort Bliss began in July, with initial 1,000-bed capacity by late August.
Defense Secretary Hegseth considers reversing Army ban on aggressive 'shark attack' training
Pete Hegseth may reinstate the aggressive "shark attack" practice used by drill sergeants to train U.S. Army recruits, which was largely ended in 2020.
AG Bondi offers $50M for arrest of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro
Pam Bondi offers $50 million bounty for Nicolás Maduro's capture as United States accuses Venezuelan president of corruption and aiding drug cartels.

The Hill

DOJ doubles reward for arrest of Venezuela's Maduro to $50M
The Department of Justice (DOJ) on Thursday upped the reward it's offering for information that leads to the arrest of Venezuela's President Nicolás Maduro to $50 million. “He is one of the largest narco traffickers in the world and a threat to our national security. Therefore, we've doubled his reward to $50 million,” Attorney General...
Judge sets hearing but denies immediate restraining order against GOP Rep. Cory Mills
A court on Thursday declined to issue an immediate restraining order against Rep. Cory Mills (R-Fla.) requested by a woman who accused him of harassing and threatening her after their break-up, according to a court document reviewed by The Hill, but ordered both Mills and the woman to appear at a hearing later in the...
Oversight Democrats call for hearing with Epstein victims
A group of Democrats is calling for a congressional hearing with the victims of convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein and his associate, Ghislaine Maxwell, who they argue have firsthand accounts that "may not be sufficiently represented in the Department of Justice’s records." Rep. Ayanna Pressley (D-Mass.), a member of the House Oversight Committee, led a group of...
Trump slams WSJ amid Epstein lawsuit, claiming it's 'China centric'
President Trump on Thursday slammed The Wall Street Journal's editorial board for routinely criticizing his trade policy with “China-centric” rhetoric. “The reason that The Wall Street Journal Editorial Board is always negative on ‘TRUMP,’ and the Hundreds of Billions of Dollars we’re bringing into our Country through Tariffs, numbers that the U.S.A. has never seen...
Trump orders federal law enforcement to patrol DC
Related video: EXCLUSIVE — DC "More Violent Than Baghdad": White House Deputy Chief Of Staff Federal law enforcement officers will patrol the streets of Washington, D.C., for the next seven days, the White House announced on Thursday. The enhanced federal presence will begin at midnight. It will be led by the U.S. Park Police and...

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The Guardian

Friday briefing: What will US funding cuts on mRNA vaccines mean for the health of the world?
In today’s newsletter: The global scientific community is reeling after the US announced sweeping cuts to vaccine research, reigniting fears that misinformation is driving critical health policyGood morning. You may have heard a saying along the lines that “when the US sneezes, the rest of the world catches a cold”. So when the US health department announced plans to cut half a billion dollars in vaccine research funding on Wednesday, the world took notice.The US is the world’s largest funder of biomedical research, but this position has become more precarious with the appointment of Robert F Kennedy Jr, a longtime vaccine sceptic, as US health secretary.Israel-Gaza war | Benjamin Netanyahu’s office said his security cabinet had approved a plan to take over Gaza City after the prime minister earlier said Israel planned to take full control of the Palestinian territory. The decision early on Friday marks another escalation of Israel’s offensive in Gaza. Follow developments liveUkraine | Volodymyr Zelenskyy said ahead of an expected meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin that Europe must participate in the peace process between Ukraine and Russia. As the Kremlin refused a three-way meeting with Zelenskyy and Trump, the Ukrainian president said: “Ukraine is not afraid of meetings and expects the same brave approach from the Russian side.”Economy | The chancellor and prime minister will begin to foreshadow tax rises and reforms from September to prepare the country for a difficult budget that could be held in November, the Guardian has been told. A rise in gambling levies – advocated by Gordon Brown – is thought to be near-guaranteed as part of the package of tax rises.UK news | Amnesty International has warned the Met police against arresting participants protesting this Saturday in London in support of Palestine Action.Labour | The UK homelessness minister, Rushanara Ali, resigned after it emerged she evicted tenants from her east London property before increasing the rent by almost £700 a month. Continue reading...
Trump, Sydney Sweeney and the ‘war on woke’ – podcast
Donald Trump needed his Maga base to focus on something other than the Jeffrey Epstein files. Enter Sydney Sweeney and the uproar over a jeans advert. This week, Jonathan Freedland speaks to politics reporter Amanda Marcotte about ‘cancel culture’ being a useful tool in a political crisisArchive: Fox News, ITV News, Megyn Kelly, Ben Shapiro, Sky News Australia, the Independent, TikTok @midwesterngothic, WHAS11, NBC News Continue reading...
Secret Service request to raise river level made ‘without knowledge’ of JD Vance, his office says
Decision to alter Ohio river flow ‘made solely by agents’, the security agency said in a statementA spokesperson for JD Vance said he and his staff were unaware that the Secret Service decided earlier this month to ask military engineers to raise the water level of the Little Miami River ahead of a family boating trip, which took place on his birthday.“The Secret Service often employs protective measures without the knowledge of the vice-president or his staff, as was the case last weekend,” the spokesperson said.Do you have a tip related to this story? You can contact the Guardian via Signal on +1 646 886 8761 Continue reading...
Democrats respond to FBI agreement to locate Texas lawmakers: ‘We will not be intimidated’ – live updates
House minority leader Hakeem Jeffries accuses Trump administration of attempting to ‘weaponize law enforcement to target political adversaries’Vance urges Republicans in Indiana to redraw map to help tighten House gripDonald Trump on Wednesday celebrated a commitment by Apple to increase its investments in US manufacturing by an additional $100bn over the next four years.Apple’s plan to up its domestic investment comes as it seeks to avoid Trump’s threatened tariffs, which would increase the tech giant’s costs as it relies on a complex international supply chain to produce its iPhones. Apple’s CEO, Tim Cook, warned during an earnings call in May that the tariffs could cost the company up to $900m that fiscal quarter alone. Continue reading...
Trump administration doubles reward for arrest of Venezuela’s president to $50m
Nicolás Maduro was indicted in 2020 on federal charges of narcoterrorism and conspiracy to import cocaineThe Trump administration is doubling to $50m a reward for the arrest of Venezuela’s president, Nicolás Maduro, accusing him of being one of the world’s largest narcotraffickers and working with cartels to flood the US with fentanyl-laced cocaine.“Under President Trump’s leadership, Maduro will not escape justice and he will be held accountable for his despicable crimes,” Pam Bondi, the attorney general, said on Thursday in a video statement announcing the reward. Continue reading...

Politico

How Democrats could gerrymander New York
With help from Amira McKeeWHAT COULD BE ON TAP FOR 2028: There’s never been a full-fledged partisan gerrymander on the books for New York’s congressional districts. Democrats and Republicans have split power in Albany during most modern redistricting cycles. When they didn’t in 2024, the lines drawn by Democrats after a series of court battles were nowhere near as aggressive as some partisans hoped. Gov. Kathy Hochul now wants to change that in response to similar Republican efforts in Texas. Redrawing the lines would be complicated in the Empire State. It couldn’t happen until 2028 at the earliest, and even then, it could only move forward if voters approve a constitutional amendment to permit a mid-decade gerrymander. But that begs a big question: What would an all-out New York gerrymander look like? The political realities of 2028 are tough to predict. Some incumbents will be gone by then, and political shifts could come to various pockets of the state. And if President Donald Trump has his way, a new Census could throw the current mapmaking calculus out the window. But as things stand now, at least two Republicans have reason to fret, and maybe as many as four. Rep. Nicole Malliotakis has topped 60 percent in the past two elections. Her district currently encompasses Staten Island and merges it with portions of Brooklyn mostly to the east of the Verrazzano Bridge, most of them Republican-friendly. In 2022, Democrats wanted to extend the district further north into Brooklyn to include portions of the left-leaning enclave of Park Slope. Enacting such a plan would turn the district into a battleground. A more aggressive approach — harkening back to a map used in the 1970s — would merge Staten Island with parts of Manhattan.In Westchester, Democratic Rep. George Latimer has a lot of breathing room — he received 72 percent of the vote in 2024. Republican Rep. Mike Lawler doesn’t — he received 52 percent. There are towns, such as the ones immediately south of the Tappan Zee, that could be swapped from Latimer’s district to Lawler’s, growing the number of Democrats in the Republican’s seat.The four Congressional seats on Long Island are currently split between Democratic Reps. Laura Gillen and Tom Suozzi and Republican Reps. Nick LaLota and Andrew Garbarino. “You could pull Suozzi’s district more into the city. You could pull Gillen’s district more into Gregory Meeks’ territory,” Hofstra University’s Larry Levy said, referring to the Queens Congress member. That would allow for some portions of the Suozzi and Gillen districts to be merged with the Democratic strongholds currently situated in Republican districts: “You probably could make either Garbarino or LaLota more vulnerable, but not both,” Levy said. In the western half of upstate, Democratic Rep. Tim Kennedy and Republican Reps. Claudia Tenney and Nick Langworthy each received around 65 percent of the vote in 2024. Democratic Rep. Joe Morelle got 60 percent. There might be a path to joining slices of the Kennedy and Morelle seats with Democratic-friendly towns like Geneva and Oswego, allowing the Tenney district to become a bit more competitive. But there’s not much to work with. “Kennedy and Morelle are kind of islands of Democrats in a sea of Republicans,” one Buffalo Democrat said. With that in mind, the end result might just be jeopardizing two Democrats without actually making the Tenney seat winnable. — Bill MahoneyMAMDANI TURNS UP PRESSURE: Zohran Mamdani sought to press his advantage today among Democrats who have yet to support him by leveraging a New York Times report that rival Andrew Cuomo and President Donald Trump have discussed the mayoral race. “My administration will be Donald Trump’s worst nightmare,” Mamdani declared, predicting his policies to boost working-class New Yorkers would show how Trump has failed those communities. The Democratic nominee for mayor accused Cuomo of “conspiring” with Trump. He spoke to reporters in Lower Manhattan outside 26 Federal Plaza, where federal immigration agents have been detaining migrants outside of court. Mamdani, who defeated Cuomo by 12 points in the June primary, stood with the leaders of labor unions that have endorsed him after previously backing Cuomo. “We know that Andrew Cuomo will sell working people out for his interests, for the interests of the billionaires that support him, for the interests of Donald Trump,” Mamdani said, “because all of those interests are lining up as one and the same.” Cuomo, who’s running an independent general election bid, told reporters in Midtown Manhattan that he doesn’t remember the last time he spoke with Trump and knocked the story as “palace intrigue.” The former governor said he did “leave word” with the president after an assasination attempt. “I’ve never spoken to him about the mayor’s race,” Cuomo said, denying the Times report. “I had spoken to him when I was governor dozens and dozens, if not hundreds of times. We went through Covid together.” Cuomo told reporters he would defend New York City against Trump “with every ounce of my strength.” The Times additionally reported today that Cuomo has told business leaders he’s not “personally" looking for a fight with the president. In Brooklyn, Mayor Eric Adams, who’s also running as an independent, said he’s never discussed the campaign with Trump and that his "conversations with the president is about bringing resources to the city." Mamdani told reporters today that he’s willing to talk with Trump and keep an open dialogue but only to improve the lives of New Yorkers. “If he wants to actually act upon the cheaper groceries that he told us he would deliver, that is a different conversation,” the candidate said. — Emily Ngo, Joe Anuta and Amira McKee ‘LOOK ON THE HAT’: The first borough office of Adams’ uphill reelection campaign is borrowing the headquarters of one of Brooklyn's old-guard political clubs. The self-titled “child from Brownsville” cut the ribbon at his new Mill Basin office Thursday, announcing that the Thomas Jefferson Democratic Club headquarters — now plastered with “re-elect Eric for Mayor” posters — will serve as the nerve center for the campaign’s Brooklyn efforts. “Why Brooklyn?” Adams said at the Thursday event, gesturing to his cap. “Brooklyn is the place I was born. When you look on the hat, it says Brownsville. It was the place that shaped and made me. It was the place that taught me the fortitude that I have right now to lead this city.” Adams’ team said today it expects to unveil more offices across the five boroughs — just a day after the New York City Campaign Finance board denied the incumbent millions of dollars in public matching funds, putting him at a weighty financial disadvantage against Mamdani. This isn’t the first time Adams has encountered trouble with the CFB, whose public matching fund program requires strict adherence to reporting mandates and individual donation limits. A 900-page CFB audit of Adams’ 2021 campaign found more than 150 fundraising events that the Adams campaign said they paid for but did not document how much was spent and by whom — a red flag for potentially prohibited in-kind contributions. The campaign declined to address those irregularities in its official response. POLITICO reported in 2021 that Adams also intermittently used office space occupied by the Democratic Party’s law firm without disclosing the relationship in campaign finance filings. When asked about how much his campaign was spending to rent the home of one of New York’s oldest and most influential Democratic clubs, Adams shrugged. “Every payment we do is listed on the campaign finance so you can look at that,” he said. Despite the CFB denying his funding request for the tenth time yesterday, Adams said he was unfazed, dodging questions about whether he would shake up his campaign staff or forgo the matching program to accept larger donations. “The life of a person born in Brownsville, you're always meeting obstacles,” Adams said, again gesturing to his cap. “But in all those obstacles, what happened? I'm the mayor, because I'm a working class, resilient, hard working New Yorker, and we're used to obstacles.” — Amira McKeeDEPARTMENT OF WISHFUL THINKING: City Hall is asking agencies to contribute ideas for Mayor Eric Adams’ 2026 State of the City address — a request that assumes the mayor will win reelection despite poll numbers suggesting otherwise. On Wednesday, Deputy Mayor for Communications Fabien Levy blasted out a message encouraging agencies to submit ideas for the theoretical address by Aug. 11, according to a copy of the missive obtained by Playbook. The request comes as Adams, who is running as an independent, remains a longshot contender for a second term. The incumbent is running as an independent in an overwhelmingly Democratic town. The Campaign Finance Board appears determined to deny him millions of dollars in public matching funds. And the latest poll had the mayor winning just 7 percent of the vote, coming in behind Mamdani, Cuomo and GOP nominee Curtis Sliwa. Regardless, Levy is bullish on the mayor’s odds. “New York City’s public servants are at their best when putting politics aside and staying focused on the work — and that is exactly what we are doing,” he said in a statement. “The State of the City takes months of thoughtful planning, and we intend to deliver a speech in early 2026 that is as groundbreaking as ever.” Despite the aura of futility, some municipal workers are treating the exercise as a job preservation strategy, according to one city employee who was granted anonymity to discuss internal thinking. Should Mamdani win the general election, as polling currently indicates, senior staffers would have a readymade plan to pitch to the new administration and prove their worth. “Zohran’s people are going to gravitate to those who have an agenda that aligns with his populism,” another city staffer, also granted anonymity, told Playbook. Levy is convinced there will be no changing of the guard. “We have appreciated POLITICO’s coverage of our past four State of the City addresses, and we look forward to their continued coverage of Mayor Adams’ next four,” he said in his statement. — Joe Anuta— MEGABILL CUTS: New York’s social service providers are bracing for deep federal funding cuts as poverty rates rise among the state’s elderly. (New York Focus) — ANOTHER LAWSUIT: A former top NYPD lawyer is suing the department, accusing top brass of firing her for investigating Adams’ former Chief of Department Jeffrey Maddrey. (Gothamist) — SLOW DOWN: New York City has instituted a new e-bike speed limit, but local officials don’t have the teeth to enforce it. (The Wall Street Journal) Missed this morning’s New York Playbook? We forgive you. Read it here.
'It's high season for hypocrisy': The godfather of the Indiana GOP slams Trump's redistricting push
Mitch Daniels weighs in on what has become a national fight over gerrymandering.
'They understand the microscope they’re under': White House ratchets up redistricting pressure
Indiana Republicans remained noncommittal following a conversation with Vice President JD Vance.
Katie Miller, former DOGE aide, to launch weekly podcast
The conservative operative is married to White House deputy chief of staff Stephen Miller and has worked for Elon Musk.
Ken Paxton launches investigation into Beto O’Rourke-led group over Texas quorum break
The organization, Powered by People, has reportedly been helping support Texas state lawmakers who fled the state to prevent Republicans from passing a new congressional map.

NPR

Trump orders colleges to share admissions data, with an eye on affirmative action
Thursday's move would compel colleges to report more data about the students they enroll and those who apply, including applicants' race and standardized test scores.
Trump says he'll likely meet with Putin and Zelenskyy soon
The White House says President Trump is now open to meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Federal judge rules cuts to humanities grants were 'unlawful'
The ruling deems the government's termination of grants from the National Endowment for the Humanities "unlawful" and allows a lawsuit brought by humanities groups to move forward.
Trump wants a new U.S. census to exclude people here illegally. It'd be unprecedented
Trump is calling for a "new" census that excludes people in the U.S. without legal status. The 14th Amendment requires the "whole number of persons in each state" in a key set of census results.
Nebraska's Mike Flood got an earful from voters. He's still standing by Trump's agenda
After his town hall this week wrapping with chants of "Vote him out!" Nebraska Rep. Mike Flood told Morning Edition he understands it is "cathartic" for constituents to voice their opinions.

Five Thirty Eight

What Americans Think Of The Biden Impeachment Inquiry
Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly-ish polling roundup. It’s officially impeachment season again. On Tuesday, House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy announced that he’s directing three House committees to start investigating whether President Biden benefited from his son Hunter’s business dealings overseas. McCarthy accused the Biden family of “a culture of corruption,” saying that the Biden administration
The Second GOP Debate Could Be Smaller, With Or Without Trump
The second Republican presidential primary debate is less than two weeks away, so time is running out for GOP contenders to meet the Republican National Committee’s qualification criteria. To make the Sept. 27 debate, each candidate must have at least 3 percent support in two qualifying national polls, or at least 3 percent in one
The Senate Is Losing One Of Its Few Remaining Moderate Republicans
On Wednesday, Utah Sen. Mitt Romney announced he would not run for reelection in 2024. On the surface, the electoral impact of Romney’s decision is minimal — his seat should stay safely in Republican hands. But it’s still notable because it represents the departure of one of the few remaining Republican senators who had a
Why ‘Bidenomics’ Isn’t Working For Biden
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. nrakich (Nathaniel Rakich, senior elections analyst): For a long time, the economy has been seen as a big liability for President Biden in his reelection bid. Inflation soared in 2021 and 2022, culminating at a rate of 9.1 percent last June. The same
Why Biden Is Losing Support Among Voters Of Color
Among the most politically tuned-in, last week saw the kind of hand-wringing and accusations of bias surrounding the polls that you’d usually expect from the final two months of a campaign, not the final year and two months of a campaign. The focus was largely on general election polls: Whether a Wall Street Journal poll

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